Fire Safety Science Digital Archive

IAFSS Symposiums

IAFSS Symposiums All Symposiums Symposium 1 Symposium 2 Symposium 3 Symposium 4 Symposium 5 Symposium 6 Symposium 7 Symposium 8 Symposium 9 Symposium 10 Symposium 11 Fire Research Notes AOFST Symposiums
We Don't Know What We Don't Know

Beard, A.N., 2003. We Don't Know What We Don't Know. Fire Safety Science 7: 765-776. doi:10.3801/IAFSS.FSS.7-765


ABSTRACT

In carrying out decision-making on risk then: {1} There may be possible sequences which are not known about or {2} There may be possible sequences which are known about but which are effectively ignored for one reason or another. It follows from this that we need to: {a} Be willing to question our assumptions, {b} Consciously try to be ‘creative’ in carrying out risk assessments, {c} Be open and explicit, {d} Look at a particular case from different points of view and using different models and {e} Err on the cautious side in making decisions on risk, to try to allow for the un-anticipated.


Keyword(s):

risk, assessment, modeling, assumptions, hazard


View Article

Member's Page | Join IAFSS | Author's Site

Copyright © International Association for Fire Safety Science